AI agent vs Polymarket
Loading
AI agent bankroll
$50.00
Started with $50.00
AI agent
Random picks
Do nothing
$50.00
0.0%
AI agent
Random picks
Start $50
AI decisions
Bets settled
Web searches
Experiment ends
AI open bets
AI decision log
Settled and sold
Random picks portfolio
How this works
An AI agent gets $50 of fake money and trades real Polymarket markets that resolve within a week. Prices, order books and taker fees are live. Only the money is fake.
- Every 6 hours a Claude Code agent wakes up in Anthropic's cloud, reads the busiest markets, searches the web, estimates odds and decides whether to bet.
- Same rules as the viral reel: at most 6% of the bankroll per bet, sized with Kelly.
- Its orders are filled against the live order book minutes later, at a limit price it sets, so it can't chase a price that moved.
- Every 20 minutes a cloud job re-prices open bets and settles finished markets.
- "Random picks" makes coin-flip bets on the same markets with the same sizing and fees. If the AI can't beat it, it has no edge.